Census Bureau: Citizen
Incomes Down Poverty Up
National
Data by Edwin S. Rubenstein
Census
Bureau: American Living Standards Now Seriously Impacted By
Immigration
Most
Americans are worse off today than at the start of the
millennium. Median household income declined for an
unprecedented fifth straight year in 2004, the poverty rate
rose, and health insurance coverage declined, according to
the Census Bureau’s latest report card on the nation’s
economic well- being released on August 30th.
Let’s look at
the facts.
Comparing the
growth in real median income for various foreign and native
households in 2004:
-
Households
headed by foreign-born non-citizens: +2.4 percent
-
Household
headed by naturalized citizens: -2.2 percent
-
Households
headed by U.S.-born persons: -0.5 percent
-
Households
headed by Blacks: -1.0 percent
This pattern
is exactly what one would expect if U.S. employers preferred
the newest immigrants—i.e., non- citizens—to native
minorities, whites, and previous— i.e., naturalized –
immigrant workers.
Although
recent immigrants may be poorly educated, lacking even the
limited skills of earlier immigrant groups, they are willing
to work for far less, lowering incomes of unskilled natives
as well as immigrants.
Poverty:
Overall, the poverty rate increased to 12.7 percent, from
12.5 percent in 2003. Once again, natives and foreign-born
individuals moved in different directions:
Poverty fell
0.1 points, to 17.1 percent, for foreign- born persons
Poverty rose
0.3 percent, to 12.1 percent, for native-born persons
Health
Insurance: the fraction of foreign born persons without
health insurance declined in 2004, according to the Census
Bureau report, while the uninsured rate increased among
natives.
Historically,
income and poverty rates fluctuate with the business cycle.
But not in 2004, when robust job creation and GDP growth
failed to lift living standards. The best explanation:
immigration has finally severed the link between economic
growth and living standards.
The
foreign-born share of the U.S. labor force rose to a record
15 percent in 2004 from 14.4 percent in 2003. As recently as
1990 less than 10 percent of the labor force was foreign
born.
A study by
Professor George Borjas finds that each 10 percent rise in
the U.S. labor force due to immigration reduces wages of
native born workers by about 3.5 percent. At this
displacement rate, immigrant workers would have lowered
native wages by 5.3 percent (3.5 percent X 15/10) in 2004
and 5.0 percent (3.5 percent X 14.4/10) in 2003.
This implies
that more than half of the decline in native income last
year was due to immigration.
These are
averages. Among natives without a high school education, the
impact will be larger. Similarly, the negative effect of
immigrants on black workers will be greater than average,
because they are in direct competition.
Immigration
enthusiasts to the contrary, there was always a tipping
point at which the impact of immigration on the living
standards of native-born Americans would start to show up
seriously in the data.
Looks like we
reached that point in 2004.
Edwin S.
Rubenstein is President of ESR Research Economic Consultants
in Indianapolis.
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