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Elect Mike Crane - Senate District 51


Trade Deficit, a look at how you are not being told the whole story
by Mike Crane

The March 2007 Trade statistics were released on May 10 and remain at a very high level.

Month

2001 Surplus
 (Deficit)
2002 Surplus
 (Deficit)
2003 Surplus
 (Deficit)
2004 Surplus
 (Deficit)
2005 Surplus
(Deficit)
2006 Surplus
(Deficit)
2007 Surplus
(Deficit)
January (35.2) (29.6) (41.4) (43.1) (58.3) (68.5) (59.1)
February (29.4) (32.6) (40.4) (42.1) (61.0) (65.7) (58.4)
March (32.7) (31.5) (43.7) (46.0) (55.0) (62.0) (63.9)
April (31.5) (34.0) (42.5) (48.3) (57.0) (63.4)  
May (28.0) (34.0) (40.8) (46.0) (55.3) (63.8)  
June (29.5) (35.4) (40.0) (55.8) (58.8) (64.8)  
July (30.1) (34.1) (40.8) (50.1) (57.9) (68.0)  
August (28.4) (36.2) (40.2) (53.5) (59.0) (69.9)  
September (30.8) (36.6) (41.3) (51.6) (66.1) (64.3)  
October (30.8) (35.0) (41.5) (55.5) (68.9) (58.9)  
November (29.7) (39.7) (40.0) (60.3) (64.2) (58.2)  
 December (26.6) (43.2) (44.0) (56.4) (65.7) (62.1)  

The chart at the right is taken - month by month - from the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis monthly press releases. These are just the numbers reported by the government. A copy and link to the most recent BEA press release is always at the bottom of the page.

This remains a track record of failed economic policies, which apparently are continuing unabated. While most of the new age rocket scientists - economists - claim that they were surprised by the increase over the last couple months. For the most part they publicly state that it was due to petroleum imports.

But a look at actual petroleum figures shows how misleading such statements are. Petroleum imports for January through March of 2007 are less than petroleum imports for January through March of 2006! Apparently these economists did not read the governments own figures.

January - March, 2006 Petroleum imports - $72,334,000,000.00
January - March, 2007 Petroleum imports - $69,895,000,000.00

In fact totally excluding petroleum, if we did not import a single drop of oil our trade deficit for the first three months of this year would be:

Month Non Petroleum
January, 2007 $41,782,000,000.00
February, 2007 $44,328,000,000.00
March, 2007 $45,499,000,000.00

Those are staggering numbers. Those are signs of failed economic policies! But don't take our word for it. These came from the government's own figures and are easily available at: http://www.bea.gov/newsreleases/international/trade/2007/xls/trad0307.xls

When you hear economists and government officials (elected or appointed) blame the trade deficit on petroleum, please understand - they are misleading you!

The trade deficit problem is much more than oil!

It is a case of a multi-year deterioration in our international trade position and it will have long term negative effects upon our country if the failed policies are not changed.

Oh by the way - during the same three months, January - March, 2007 we exported $7,759,000,000.00 dollars of petroleum! Which was one billion dollars more than we exported in the same three months of 2006. Wonder how much of that $7,759,000,000.00 dollars of exported petroleum products was re-imported at a higher price?

What are the long term impacts?

This month some of the long term impacts will be documented. These are in addition to the declining value of the dollar and creeping globalization which have been featured in previous months and are continuing unabated.

Accumulating Debt

One of the most obvious effects of year after year of unacceptable trade deficits is of course accumulation of debt. It should be obvious to everyone that excessive debt is not a trade deficitgood thing and can not continue forever. The chart on the left gives a graph of the growing debt total and it is getting substantial and the trend to obvious - even to a redneck like me!

If it is not obvious to our elected Republicans and Democrats then they are dumber than a redneck or less honest. Take your pick.

By the end of 2006 our accumulative trade debt was just over $6,600,000,000,000.00 ($6.6 trillion) or roughly $20,000.00 per man, woman and child in the entire country.

That is a transfer of American wealth to foreign countries and foreign citizens.

Do you agree with your elected officials that is a good thing? If so you should jumping with joy and popping the champagne cork, because there is nothing on the horizon to change the trend.

At the current rate - the trade deficit it will grow by over $2,000,000,000,000.00 ($2.0 Trillion) every three years.

Does this concern you? If so - sooner or later the time will come to begin to think about what you as a citizen can do about it. The sooner the better in our view, but the problem is not going to go way. It will only get worse until enough citizens get concerned or we become a third world country.

Declining Foreign Reserves

Another measure of a country's international financial position is the level trade deficitof foreign reserves. To put this into a more personal perspective this would be the "liquid assets" in the bank so to speak. The higher the foreign reserves the better.

The chart at the right shows the graph of our country's foreign reverses for the last few decades. Note that it is virtually flat since the early 1990's.

As an educational note for many Republicans and Democrats reading this - that is when NAFTA was passed and entered the era of Expensive Trade Agreements to bolster your campaign contributions.

With a rapidly increasing population this is actually a declining position. The per person or per capita reserves is actually decreasing. This graph also shows the same measure for both China and Japan.

The effect if this trend is not reversed is that the standard of living in both China and Japan will eventually pass that of our country.

It should be obvious that during a period where the country has accumulated over $20,000.00 (and increasing) of foreign debt per person, having $244.00 in the bank to pay the debt is not a good trend.

But your elected officials in both the Republican and Democratic parties do not seem to mind.

trde deficitIn some ways this is similar to Nero fiddling while Rome burned. Our modern day Nero's pander to special interests while your grandchildren's future is squandered on the auction block of corporate and special interest campaign contributions and influence.

The chart on the left gives the per person or per capita Foreign reserves for several countries. Even with its much larger population China has more than three times the foreign reserves per person as our country.

The wealth created by American Liberty and your ancestors is being squandered year by year.

Instead of telling you the Truth, your elected officials, both Republican and Democratic rely on new age economists to explain this dismal performance using mis-leading information.

Warren Buffett - hardly a Southern Party member - has come to the same conclusion:

Instead of moving toward an "ownership society," Buffett suggested, with admitted hyperbole, that the economic burden ahead is more likely to result in a "sharecropper's society" dependent on foreign landlords.

Step by step - your grandchildren's future is being sold on the auction block of special interest influence. Before "political correctness" it would have been called by its real names - "corruption" and "fiscal irresponsibly."

It is up to you - the American citizen to decide how long - you - are going to let it continue.

What you can do.

If you are concerned about these economic policies, at some point you need to ask yourself the question, "what am I going to do about it?" Go back and look at either the chart at the top or other graphs. There can be very little question what the trend is and what you can expect if nothing changes.

Are you concerned enough to consider some things that you can very easily do to begin raising awareness of the future problems? If so please consider:

1) We need your help in passing this information on to others. How many people do you know that would be concerned or interested? If everybody that reads this page - finds one new person a month, in two years we could retire every US House Representative or US Senator up for election across the country that is selling your grandchildren's future. That is a lot of results for very little effort. Last month the list receiving these updates only grew by just over 100, perhaps too many were relying on the other person to find their new person or only 6% are concerned.

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2) Consider joining the Southern Party of Georgia or one of the Southern Parties springing up in other States (Southern Party of North Carolina and Southern Party of Mississippi) and helping our efforts to expose the dangers of creeping globalism.

Southern Party of Georgia
725 Ridgeview Road
Morganton, Georgia 30560

Credit card contributions can be made at 877-903-0996.

Paypal contributions: chairman@spofga.org

Or you can send a contribution to the author's campaign at:

Committee to Elect Mike Crane
725 Ridgeview Road
Morganton, Georgia 30560

Georgia Campaign Finance Reporting requires we ask for your name, address, occupation and employer.

These are simple steps, require very little effort and even the financial request is not a burden. When Republicans and Democrats call you (they can afford telemarketing, many cases using call centers in India to help stabilize salaries in India while they fall in our country) they ask for much more. We need your help more than they do and when you help Republicans and Democrats you get more of the same.

Nobody made a greater mistake than he who did nothing
because he could only do a little.

Edmund Burke (1729 - 1797)


U.S. Census Bureau
U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis
NEWS
U.S. Department of Commerce · Washington, D.C. 20230

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
                      8:30 A.M. EST THURSDAY, MAY 10, 2007

CB07-65
BEA07-20
FT-900 (07-03)

For information on goods contact:
U.S. Census Bureau:
Nick Orsini   (301) 763-6959
Vanessa Ware  (301) 763-2311

For information on services contact:
U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis:
Technical:  Christopher Bach   (202) 606-9545
Media:      Ralph Stewart      (202) 606-2649

                U.S. INTERNATIONAL TRADE IN GOODS AND SERVICES
                                  March 2007

Goods and Services

The U.S. Census Bureau and the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, through the Department of Commerce, announced today that total March exports of $126.2 billion and imports of $190.1 billion resulted in a goods and services deficit of $63.9 billion, $6.0 billion more than the $57.9 billion in February, revised.  March exports were $2.2 billion more
than February exports of $124.0 billion.  March imports were $8.2 billion more than February imports of $181.9 billion.

In March, the goods deficit increased $6.0 billion from February to $70.2 billion, and the services surplus was virtually unchanged at $6.3 billion.  Exports of goods increased $1.8 billion to $90.2 billion, and imports of goods increased $7.8 billion to $160.3 billion.  Exports of services increased $0.4 billion to $36.1 billion, and imports of services increased $0.4 billion to $29.8 billion.

In March, the goods and services deficit was up $1.6 billion from March 2006.  Exports were up $10.7 billion, or 9.2 percent, and imports were up $12.3 billion, or 6.9 percent.

Source: http://www.bea.gov/newsreleases/international/trade/tradnewsrelease.htm

 

 
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